风廓线雷达资料质量控制及其同化应用   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

张旭斌  万齐林  薛纪善  丁伟钰  李昊睿 《气象学报》2015,73(1):159-176

为更好地同化风廓线雷达观测资料开展了相应的质量控制与同化应用研究。针对2013年5月广东地区13部风廓线雷达的观测数据,采用经验正交函数(EOF) 分析方法对其进行质量控制。相比原始观测,经过质量控制的风场提高(降低)了来自时空大(小)尺度的贡献,较好地滤除了小尺度高频脉动,也较好地保留了大尺度平均状态与局地中小尺度系统的共同影响,并且更加接近ECMWF再分析场。此外,还对质量控制后的数据进行了垂直稀疏化。分别计算了质量控制前、后风廓线雷达观测与NCEP 6 h预报场的差值,对比差值的特征发现,经过质量控制的数据的观测增量更好地满足了高斯分布与无偏假设。针对一个实际天气个例,基于GRAPES 3D-Var同化系统,分析了质量控制后的风廓线雷达资料对模式分析与预报的影响。试验表明,在循环同化过程中加入风廓线雷达资料可以更好地描述模式初始场低层风场的特征,从而对强降水的位置与强度做出更好的预报。针对2013年5月的批量试验表明,同化风廓线雷达资料使短期降水预报有明显的改善。  相似文献   

Evaluation of radar and automatic weather station data assimilation for a heavy rainfall event in southern China     

Tuanjie Hou  Fanyou Kong  Xunlai Chen  Hengchi Lei  Zhaoxia Hu 《大气科学进展》2015,32(7):967-978

To improve the accuracy of short-term(0–12 h) forecasts of severe weather in southern China, a real-time storm-scale forecasting system, the Hourly Assimilation and Prediction System(HAPS), has been implemented in Shenzhen, China. The forecasting system is characterized by combining the Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF-ARW)model and the Advanced Regional Prediction System(ARPS) three-dimensional variational data assimilation(3DVAR) package. It is capable of assimilating radar reflectivity and radial velocity data from multiple Doppler radars as well as surface automatic weather station(AWS) data. Experiments are designed to evaluate the impacts of data assimilation on quantitative precipitation forecasting(QPF) by studying a heavy rainfall event in southern China. The forecasts from these experiments are verified against radar, surface, and precipitation observations. Comparison of echo structure and accumulated precipitation suggests that radar data assimilation is useful in improving the short-term forecast by capturing the location and orientation of the band of accumulated rainfall. The assimilation of radar data improves the short-term precipitation forecast skill by up to9 hours by producing more convection. The slight but generally positive impact that surface AWS data has on the forecast of near-surface variables can last up to 6–9 hours. The assimilation of AWS observations alone has some benefit for improving the Fractions Skill Score(FSS) and bias scores; when radar data are assimilated, the additional AWS data may increase the degree of rainfall overprediction.  相似文献   

融合光度参数估计的单目直接法视觉里程计     

谭涌  潘树国  高旺  盛超  章辉  喻国荣 《测绘工程》2021,30(3):59-65

针对单目直接法视觉里程计在光照变化大的场景下定位精度低、定位鲁棒性差的问题,文中提出一种融合光度参数估计的单目直接法视觉里程计。首先通过对图像帧进行特征匹配实现特征跟踪,建立起图像像素点之间的关联,接着利用非线性优化方法进行光度参数估计,然后在光度参数估计提供的光度参数先验信息的基础上对图像灰度值进行校正,最后利用校正后的图像采用单目直接法视觉里程计对相机运动进行估计。在EuRoC数据集上的实验结果表明,与传统方法相比,文中提出的算法提高单目直接法视觉里程计对光照变化的鲁棒性,定位精度平均提高约18%。  相似文献   

绘图方式对直流电测深等值线断面图的影响     

郭崇光 《物探与化探》2011,35(5):707-709

以一条测线的直流电测深资料为例,分别用人工和Surfer软件绘制出视电阻率等值线断面图进行比较,从而说明:正确地应用Surfer软件绘制等值线图非常重要,关键是网格化前对x、y值的表达方式以及选择那种插值方法,如何插值才能取得理想的效果,否则会直接影响资料解释,甚至会得出错误的结论。  相似文献   

卫星高度计资料在三维海温和盐度数值预报中的应用   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

李云  万莉颖  刘钦政 《海洋学报》2011,33(6):64-72

随着卫星遥感观测技术的发展,越来越多的卫星观测资料被应用于数值模式的同化研究中.基于国家海洋环境预报中心西北太平洋三维湿盐流预报系统,利用法国CLS中心的沿轨高度计资料的海表面高度异常的融合数据,结合基于三维变分的OVALS(ocean variational analysis system)同化系统,在垂向将海面高度...  相似文献   

基于扩散滤波的多尺度三维变分研究   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

李冬  王喜冬  张学峰  吴新荣  李威  韩桂军 《海洋通报》2011,30(2):165-171

将扩散方程引入三维变分分析,揭示了传统3D-VAR不能有效提取多尺度观测信息的根本原因,即观测导致的目标函数梯度在空间的不连续分布.将扩散滤波融入基于梯度的最优化算法,发展了基于扩散滤波的多尺度3D-VAR.海表面温度数据同化试验结果表明,新方法可从长波至短波有效地提取多尺度的观测信息.  相似文献   

中国制造业FDI技术溢出效应——基于苏粤数据的实证与比较分析     

张希  陈甜蜜 《地域研究与开发》2011,30(6):6-11,32

选取2000—2009年江苏省和广东省为样本,考虑到技术溢出可能存在非线性和滞后性,构建引入了溢出变量的二次项和滞后一期的工业增加值面板数据模型,实证考察了外商直接投资在苏粤两省制造业各子行业产生的技术溢出效应。分析结果表明:江苏省FDI存在显著的行业内和后向技术溢出效应,广东省存在显著的行业内和行业间技术溢出效应。进一步通过对两省实证结果的对比,得出结论并提出政策建议。  相似文献   

Evaluation of stress strain non-uniformities in the laboratory direct simple shear test specimens using 3D discrete element analysis     

Antone Dabeet  Peter Byrne 《Geomechanics and Geoengineering》2015,10(4):249-260

The direct simple shear (DSS) device is one of the commonly used laboratory element testing tools to characterize the shear behaviour of soil. The interpretation of results from an element test requires understanding of the degree of stress and strain non-uniformities in a given test specimen. So far, studies on stress and strain non-uniformities in the DSS test have been conducted using direct boundary measurements of stresses in laboratory specimens supported by a continuum based analytical approach. Discrete element modelling now provides a means of modelling the soil behaviour in a realistic manner using a particulate approach. Accordingly, the performance of a DSS specimen was modelled using discrete element modelling with emphasis on assessing stress and strain non-uniformities in the specimen during shearing. The approach allowed for the numerical determination of stresses not only at the boundaries, but also within the DSS specimen. It was shown that mobilised stress ratio distribution throughout the shearing phase for the majority of specimen volume at locations near the central planes parallel and perpendicular to the direction of shearing is fairly uniform. Finally, it was noted that the potential for particle slippage at locations near the specimen centre can result in non-uniform shear strain distributions.  相似文献   

“This is a Montreal Issue”: Negotiating responsibility in global production and investment networks     

Noah Quastel 《Geoforum》2011,42(4):451-461

While geographers have increasingly focused on how global commodity and production networks create new ‘geographies of responsibility’ there has been little empirical work considering how responsibility is worked into management systems and social activism in such networks. Drawing on literature from global production networks, geographies of responsibility and other literatures, this paper explores the dynamic and contested ways in which concepts of responsibility can play a role in network regulation. Both foreign direct investment and commodity networks (here referred to as ‘global production and investment networks’) are subject to complex negotiations and compromises involving corporate social responsibility and sustainability initiatives as well as shareholder activist, human rights, labor, and environmental activism. This is illustrated by reference to conflicts in Canada over Alcan, Inc.’s investments from 1993 to 2007 in the Utkal Alumina Project in Orissa, India. The project involved significant socio-environmental conflict. In Canada, Alcan’s investment was met by civil society campaigns that tested the company’s commitments to sustainability and corporate social responsibility. The case study suggests revising theories of geographies of responsibility. While foreign direct investment can create new relationships between distant others, these are fluid and contingent and not necessarily desirable. Rather than see networks as a source of responsibility we should work to ensure that the relationships that networks foster be structured to ensure our deeper values are respected.  相似文献   

地面加密自动站资料同化和数值模拟   总被引：7，自引：5，他引：2  

程磊  沈桐立  徐海明  刘聪 《气象科学》2011,31(1):24-32

采用美国多部门研制的WRF模式及其四维变分同化系统,对2008年5月长江中下游地区一次强对流暴雨天气过程进行了数值模拟试验;并分别将质量控制前和质量控制后的华东地区地面加密自动站资料加入模式进行四维变分同化试验,与实况进行了对比。结果表明:模拟试验能较好的模拟此次降水过程;而采用四维变分同化经质量控制后的地面加密资料,模式效果最好,使降水预报在降水落区和降水量上都获得较为明显的改善;但质量控制前四维同化改善效果不明显。这说明地面资料的质量控制很重要,它能去伪存真。有效地利用地面加密自动站资料,能使资料的加入与模式更协调,从而得到了最佳的模拟效果。  相似文献